2025 Nvidia Pre-Performance Analysis | Building a Super AI Factory

Nvidia Stock Price

The three major U.S. stock indexes fell on Monday, August 25th, $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US)$ und $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ Close to the all-day low market, $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US)$ Equally pressured. However, the results will be announced on August 27 $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$ Rebounding upmarket. Seen from the Sector, Sunday $PHLX Semiconductor Index(.SOX.US)$ Counter-rain force races across the city. NVIDIA'S SHARE PRICE REMAINS ON AN UPWARD TRACK TO DATE, WHICH IS BELIEVED TO BE ONE OF THE MAIN REASONS BEHIND THE STOCK PRICE STABILITY, AND HAS REMAINED ON THE UPWARD TRACK TODAY.

Nvidia results are bold

As you can see, the market expects revenue of approximately $46 billion for the second quarter of this year, up about 53% year-on-year, and earnings per share of $0.935, up about 40% next year. The above revenue and profit expectations should include the H20 ban known to the market, after all, approximately $2.5 billion of products have failed to ship properly since the ban was implemented in April and will even face the pressure of devaluation losses.

OUT THERE, BLACKWELL'S CURRENT SALES VOLUME AND MARKET NEEDS TO BE GUARANTEED FOR INCOME AND PROFITS. In terms of gross margin only, the company's guidance for the first quarter is the non-GAAP gross margin guidance of 72.0% ± 0.5% (71.5% to 72.5%). At the same time, GAAP gross margin is estimated at 71.8% ± 0.5%. The performance of the gross margin will be the key factor behind the performance.

A RESEARCH REPORT FROM MID-AUGUST HAS MADE IT CLEAR THAT USING NVIDIA GB200 NVL72 DATA CENTERS WITH THE HIGHEST EFFICIENCY IN THE MARKET UNDER THE SAME CIRCUMSTANCES, STRENGTHENS BLACKWELL'S CREDIBILITY IN THE MARKET. Most importantly, the Blackwell Ultra (half-year payment in 2025) will be effective for the upgraded version that has already been brought into mass production. Current partners including AWS, Google Cloud, and Supermicro are responding to strong market demands (order sales in 2025) to guarantee revenue. Only the output line does not have a face-to-face message, profit and income indicators will appear.

Nvidia builds AI superfactory

In addition to the results of the previous quarter, the company's performance guidance and outlook are also important. Following the official announcement of Blackwell Ultra at the GTC on March 18, the results are expected to focus on this upgraded version, which is positioned as a key computing platform for the AI Factories era, focusing on high-performance applications such as reasoning, agentic AI and physical AI.

Beyond this Concept, the entire Industry Chain's performance in US shares is a key consideration.

Web Links: $Coherent(COHR.US)$ $Lumentum(LITE.US)$ $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI.US)$ $Fabrinet(FN.US)$ $Ciena(CIEN.US)$ $Credo Technology(CRDO.US)$ $Astera Labs(ALAB.US)$ $Corning(GLW.US)$ $Lumen Technologies(LUMN.US)$

Switches: $Arista Networks(ANET.US)$ $Cisco(CSCO.US)$ $Broadcom(AVGO.US)$ $Marvell Technology(MRVL.US)$ $Celestica(CLS.US)$

Energy Consumption Cooling: $Vertiv Holdings(VRT.US)$ $nVent Electric(NVT.US)$

Data Center Operators/Solution Providers: $Microsoft(MSFT.US)$ $Alphabet-C(GOOG.US)$ $Amazon(AMZN.US)$ $Meta Platforms(META.US)$ $Oracle(ORCL.US)$ $CoreWeave(CRWV.US)$ $Super Micro Computer(SMCI.US)$ $Dell Technologies(DELL.US)$

Back to the point, the company's recently announced Jetson AGX Thor chip is NVIDIA's latest cutting-edge AI computing module for mechanical application design, based on the latest Blackwell architecture, running on the previous 3.5M. THE COMPANY'S AI SUPERPLANT PLAN IS A KEY BATTLEGROUND FOR AI-DEMAND GROWTH AND TERRITORIAL GOVERNANCE CHALLENGES. THE COMPANY'S UPCOMING LAUNCH OF B30/B30A CHIPS FOR THE CHINESE MARKET IS AWAITING U.S. POLICY REVIEW.

IN GENERAL, NVIDIA HAS ALREADY PREPARED FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE PUBLIC AS AN INVESTMENT GOAL, RATHER THAN SHORT- OR MEDIUM-LONG LINES.

Navidia options analysis

(Source: Futubull)

As seen on the latest Taurus desktop interface, as of August 26, this results market is expected to fluctuate ± 6.07%.

(Source: Futubull)

Upcoming Hold Positions will be published on August 29. Open options with a strike price of $185 at StrikepriceCall to hold stock holding positions at the highest level, holding positions on August 26, Total stock holding positions at the highest level, holding positions at August 26, and holding positions of about 0.00% 0.088 million. This will generate $1.628 billion in assets under management. However, compared to NVIDIA's Market Cap and Average Share, these numbers do not generate much momentum.

(Source: Futubull)

On the Options Chain, we can see that the price of call put options IV is about 80~90% when the pre-earnings surge is elevated to the highest level. THAT'S 26% HIGHER THAN NVIDIA'S HISTORIC WAVE OF MORE THAN 30 DAYS. Expired year-end options, on average, about 40%.

*The following options and ETF strategy are for investment education only and do not represent any investment opinions

For investors who want to buy short line spreads under high IVs, it is recommended to sell options gold under the guarantee of the stock and put options gold in the case of high IV, start taking money (sell put trade in the case of high IV and start taking options gold under higher IV), this gold, this strategic strategy can reduce the risk of profit and loss

If we were originally counting on Buying 175 USD to Buy 100 shares of NVIDIA, we can now take into account a put option at a Strike price of $175 and withdraw option money of $3.8. In the fall after the negative results, we maintained the original plan to buy 100 shares of NVIDIA in order to buy 100 shares of NVIDIA and reduce the cost of the option money withdrawn to $171.2 (175-3.8 =171.2 )If the share price rose after the result, the stock price rose again after the withdrawal of the option money.

In the case of a high IV, another effective way to control risk is to use Bull Call Spread. That is, buy a long and short a call option at the same time. Buy Strike price < Outbound Strike price. This method mainly reduces the cost of a call option (from the money taken out of strike options). The price is that when the stock price rises far beyond the Strike price of a short call option, it cannot be shaken.

For hedged investors, you can use the COVERCALL strategy to issue 1 call option money for every 100 shares held. Strike price can be used to refer to the forecast wave of historical performance dates, with a plunge of almost 6% in the immediate share price. At the moment, this strategy is to expect the share price to be in the 6% Billion Range, and the Longline continues to see the UK beat NVIDIA as the leader. (A lot of calls are made by long line investors, most of them are just taking options to find opportunities to buy them again).

Access Deployment Driven by Leveraged ETFs

For more proactive investors who want to avoid too high an IV risk, a more direct approach is to choose a leveraged ETF, without the potential risk of losing time and volatility.

NVDA Double Do Multiple ETFs: $CSOP NVIDIA Daily (2x) Leveraged Product(07788.HK)$ $GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF(NVDL.US)$ $T-Rex 2X Long Nvidia Daily Target ETF(NVDX.US)$

NVDA Double Vacancy ETF: $CSOP NVIDIA Daily (-2x) Inverse Product(07388.HK)$ $GraniteShares 2x Short NVDA Daily ETF(NVD.US)$ $Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares(NVDU.US)$

Futu Securities, Chief Analyst, Hui Chi-Lok

(The author is a licensee of the Securities and Exchange Commission and its affiliates do not have any financial interest in the proposed issuer of shares)