Investment Opportunities in Palantir Storm: Operational Opportunities for Short-Line Hoops

This week's US stocks are adjusted, and the performance of Technology stocks is the focus of the market. The historical high of the S&P 500 Index is currently 6481 on August 15, while the historical high is set on August 13. However, according to the low positions on the chart, the two indicators are divided into highs of 2.1% and 4.2%. Declines do not count, but the drop is reflected in Technology shares in the stock market.

Over One Month, US Stocks Support Tech Stock Performance to a New High, Especially $Meta Platforms(META.US)$ 、 $Microsoft(MSFT.US)$ und $Palantir(PLTR.US)$ Upgrade to display more. However, in the near term adjustments, the three share capital has shown a clear retracement to the daily lows of 8.2%, 9.2% and 25%, at most, from historical highs. The three major U.S. stock indexes recovered from their lows, but Microsoft is on the market at an all-time low.

However, from a technical analysis point of view, $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ 、 $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US)$ either $NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$ Since the beginning of the uptrend since mid-May has not eased to the present day, the company has managed to climb one way in the mid-term. The low volatility signal may be related to Algo Trading Trade and some technical analysis operations.

Markets are concerned about US rate cuts, as seen from recent Fed sentiment, which is more concerned about inflationary pressures than labor market performance, and the chances of a significant rate cut are reduced, but the expectation of a 2-3 rate cut before the end of the year remains unchanged. Now it's just bigger, it can be changed from 3 times to 2 times. What is most noteworthy in the short term is the non-farm data ahead of the September 17 meeting, apart from the Jackson Hole annual Fed meeting over the weekend.

The downside of US stocks is not expected to change much, there is not much news on the economic level, and the short line that leads to market volatility is likely to be just some market news. Among the three Stocks listed above, it is clear that Palantir has led to a 25% share price crash due to the tracking of Vacant Institutions.

PLTR Stock Price

As can be seen from the chart, the PLTR has been tied for 6 trading days, losing more than two trading days from its high to a 25% drop from its all-time low of $142.34. The main reason is the weak reporting of the company and Perfume Research, which directly indicates the company's share price of only $40.

(Source: Citron research)

The full research report has about 7 pages, and the current Chinese risk statement is 2 pages. The message that comes from the report is that the PLTR value is not reasonable. For example, OpenAI's 500 billion Market Cap has a market cap of 16.89 billion, while Palantir's forecast sales for 2026 is estimated at $5.6 billion, while the 17B model calculates a result of $40. Externally, the report compares with Private Company Databricks with no Listing, showing that Company Valuation is unjustified, which is the main loan to be tracked.

However, there are too many places where this report makes no sense, here are some of the author's current views:

Valuation is completely unreasonable

The comparison between OpenAI or databricks and PLTR is completely unreasonable and this is equivalent to $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$ $Apple(AAPL.US)$ $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ Comparing valuations together makes no sense to compare when several companies' business models or stages of development are completely different. (Normally $Coca-Cola(KO.US)$ und $PepsiCo(PEP.US)$ This comparison makes sense, but it is not simply a high comparison.)

OpenAI and Databricks are now the source of revenue that is charged through the API, from the very beginning. Palantir is a key reason for value-adding to the company's contracts from Government Institutions and International Corporations, and has started with revenue and conversion stages for its clients.

PLTR outlook: Market's view of Palantir's valuation

PLTR is the most prominent AI data analytics company in the US, and does not rely on traditional Indicators such as PS (P/S), P/E and PEG (PE) relative to earnings growth. The market is valued using a complex reference order backlog. This method is commonly referred to as Backlog Valuation or Revenue Backlog Method in financial and investment analysis. This is a value framework based on non-coincident predictive revenue and is particularly applicable to SaaS (Software-to-Service) and Co-Driven Enterprises, such as PLTR, other government and business (if Total CVA TCV and RPO) are Key Indicators.

This approach is good and bad, but it is easier to grow more quickly (like PLTR's $10 billion dollar army combined, beep/E sooner. This is due to high backlog complexity (which can be delayed or cancelled), and when the business changes big, DCF prediction will not be able to detect errors in revenue capacity.

To put it simply, Palantir's valuation method is comparably unique, and its business identity is interrelated. This is why research analysts generally don't use the right value comparisons for these companies.

PLTR Target Price: Upcoming Investment Opportunities

Users do not understand the way in which the gap report is viewed, because the reflections encountered on the short line are stored in the opportunity. Before operating, it is important to determine that Palantir belongs to a traditional High Risk Stocks. In addition to using the above valuation calculations, the amounts that are not stored are naturally large. In short line operations, the main thing is to make trade comparisons based on technical analysis and reading.

ASIO has often heard of technical storms, and this word is not alive, only representing asset prices rebounding by more than 20% from their historical highs. The reason for this name is that after a 20% drop in stock prices, it is generally easy to sell aggressively. The main shortage and availability are not possible and temporary warehouses lead to the emergence of a new expansion, but in general, after the completion of non-materialized sales, the share price may stop moving forward in retrofitting and repurchasing.

Yesterday's share price rally after plunging more than 9% is a hint of this possibility. The likelihood is higher with yesterday's Daeso sales rebound.

In view of the above, the technical market position in the trading angle will take place, the immediate high of $190 returns to the order of 20%, then the fall of $152 can be seen as a bullish division line in the short line operation, and the bearish momentum continues above $152, and the decline of $152 may be extended.

Fundamentally, the company's U.S. corporate income is growing at a high rate in the mid-term, and global companies are not getting stronger by leveraging AI technology to achieve the ultimate goal of reducing profitability, as Fujitsu and Palantir signed a new licensing agreement. Despite the fact that the United States has reduced its sovereign debt in recent years, in fact, Palantir's AI is important for the cost of corporations and governments, and has expanded further in the application layer of profitable companies when this trend has not changed.

From a technical analysis perspective, yesterday's share price held steady at the 50-antenna support position, with 50 antennas just the $152 level mentioned above. On the short line, without falling below $152, it is advisable for the time being to start a bullish rebound.

Investment Opportunities from PLTR Leverage

(Source: Futubull PC)

In the course of options operation, the opportunity to quickly increase the stock price is created, without worrying about the PLTR extension of the option wave due on August 22, has increased to 80~100%. As of September 5, the starting point is 55~ 65% to the left, close to the end of the year. The recoil short line operates on the suction power of the tool, without worrying about the risks of the IV line.

(Source: Futubull PC)

*The following options and ETF strategy are for investment education only and do not represent any investment opinions

For investors who want to buy short line stocks, this strategy can reduce the risk of taking out the spread price (keep the cash on hand sell short puts) under the high IV, this strategy can reduce the risk of taking the risk of trading (Countervailing can be used to lower cash with options) Cost).

In the case of higher IVs, another effective way to control risk is to use Bull Call Spread. That is, buy a long and short a call option at the same time. Buy Strike price < Outbound Strike price. This method mainly reduces the cost of a call option (from the money taken out of strike options). The price is not always possible to rise when the stock price rises far beyond the strike price of a short call option.

The current PLRT's IV is too high and the IV is above the historical volatility. The most effective direct way to deploy short line positive leverage is to choose a leveraged ETF, after all, there is no risk of time loss and volatility.

PLTR Double Do Multiple ETFs: $Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X Shares(PLTU.US)$ $GraniteShares 2x Long PLTR Daily ETF(PTIR.US)$ $Leverage Shares 2X Long PLTR Daily ETF(PLTG.US)$

PLTR Double Empty ETF: $Defiance Daily Target 2X Short PLTR ETF(PLTZ.US)$

FOR PRUDENT INVESTORS, USE AT IV HIGH ENTERPRISESCovercall strategyIt is a selectable option to sell a call option at the same time as holding a right share (100 shares per US share), holding 100 shares per US share at the same time (at 100 shares per US share, and at the same time holding 100 shares of PLTR and exercising a warrant shortacall at the same time). for unfamiliar investors, there are several ETFs with a covercall strategy in the market at the same time, e.g. $YieldMax PLTR Option Income Strategy ETF(PLTY.US)$ Can be referenced.

Futu Securities, Chief Analyst, Hui Chi-Lok

(The author is a licensee of the Securities and Exchange Commission and its affiliates do not have any financial interest in the proposed issuer of shares)